Hedera (HBAR) is showing early signs of recovery following a sharp 40% price correction over the past 30 days. While the broader trend remains bearish, technical indicators suggest that downward momentum may be slowing. Traders and investors are now watching key support and resistance levels closely, as a breakout in either direction could set the tone for HBAR’s next major move.
With price action consolidating near $0.21, market participants are assessing whether this dip presents a buying opportunity or a precursor to further declines. Technical analysis tools such as the Ichimoku Cloud, DMI (Directional Movement Index), and EMA (Exponential Moving Average) structures offer valuable insights into potential reversal points and trend sustainability.
HBAR DMI Signals Potential Shift in Momentum
The Directional Movement Index (DMI) for Hedera reveals a subtle but notable shift in market dynamics. The Average Directional Index (ADX), which measures trend strength, has increased from 14.2 to 19.3 in just two days. Although still below the 20 threshold—typically indicating a weak trend—this upward movement suggests that the downtrend may be stabilizing.
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The ADX does not indicate direction, only strength. However, when combined with the +DI (Positive Directional Indicator) and -DI (Negative Directional Indicator), it provides a clearer picture of market sentiment.
Currently, +DI has climbed to 13.9 from 10.9, recovering from a recent low of 22.4 three days ago, while -DI has declined to 19.4 from 22.3. This divergence indicates that selling pressure is gradually easing, and buying interest is beginning to re-emerge.
Despite these positive signals, the -DI remains above +DI, confirming that the bearish trend is still dominant. A bullish reversal would require the +DI to cross above the -DI—a signal that has not yet materialized. For now, HBAR needs sustained buying volume to shift from consolidation into an uptrend.
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Ichimoku Cloud Confirms Bearish Bias — But Change Could Be Near
The Ichimoku Cloud remains a critical tool for assessing Hedera’s medium-term outlook. Currently, HBAR is trading below the cloud, which serves as dynamic resistance and confirms the ongoing bearish structure. The cloud itself is red and sloping downward, projecting continued resistance in the coming weeks.
Two key lines within the Ichimoku system—the Tenkan-sen (conversion line) and Kijun-sen (baseline)—are flat, reflecting a lack of strong directional momentum. For a trend reversal to occur, HBAR must break above the cloud, which begins around $0.23 and extends higher.
Additionally, the Chikou Span (lagging span) remains below current price levels, reinforcing bearish momentum. However, recent price stabilization hints at potential accumulation, suggesting that sellers may be exhausting their influence.
A breakout above both the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen could act as an early warning of bullish reversal, potentially pushing HBAR toward the lower boundary of the cloud. If the price successfully clears this zone, it could trigger short-covering and attract new buyers.
Conversely, failure to gain traction above $0.23 may result in another leg down, with immediate support at $0.21. A breakdown below this level could open the door to $0.179—the next major support zone based on prior swing lows.
HBAR Price Prediction: Can It Avoid a Drop Below $0.20?
Short-term EMAs are positioned below longer-term averages, reinforcing the bearish alignment across timeframes. This configuration often precedes extended corrective phases unless disrupted by strong buying pressure.
If downward momentum resumes, HBAR could test the $0.21 support level. A confirmed break below this point increases the likelihood of a drop toward $0.179—a level not seen since late 2024. Bulls will need to defend this floor aggressively to prevent further losses.
On the upside, resistance looms at $0.248. A decisive move above this level could reignite bullish sentiment and pave the way for a rally toward $0.32—the highest price recorded since late January. Achieving this target would require not only increased demand but also reduced selling pressure from long-term holders or institutional traders.
Market structure suggests that HBAR is at a crossroads. The outcome of this consolidation phase will likely determine whether the asset enters a recovery cycle or extends its correction.
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: What is causing Hedera's recent price decline?
A: The 40% correction in HBAR price over 30 days appears driven by broader market weakness, reduced investor sentiment in layer-1 blockchains, and technical selling triggered by broken support levels.
Q: Is HBAR a good buy at current levels?
A: While HBAR shows signs of stabilizing, it remains in a confirmed downtrend. Conservative investors may wait for a confirmed breakout above $0.23 or $0.248 before entering long positions.
Q: What are the key resistance levels for HBAR?
A: The most immediate resistance is at $0.23 (Ichimoku Cloud base), followed by $0.248 and then $0.32—the latter representing a significant upside target if momentum shifts.
Q: What happens if HBAR breaks below $0.21?
A: A breakdown below $0.21 could accelerate selling, with next support expected around $0.179. This level aligns with historical demand zones and may attract buyers if reached.
Q: How reliable is the Ichimoku Cloud for predicting HBAR movements?
A: The Ichimoku Cloud is widely used for trend identification and has historically provided accurate signals during strong trends. However, it performs best when combined with volume analysis and other indicators like DMI.
Q: Can HBAR recover to $0.30 in 2025?
A: Yes—though not guaranteed—a move to $0.30 is possible if market conditions improve, on-chain activity increases, and technical indicators confirm sustained bullish momentum.
Final Outlook: Cautious Optimism Amid Volatility
Hedera (HBAR) stands at a pivotal juncture after shedding 40% of its value in one month. While technical indicators still favor bears, early signs of weakening selling pressure suggest the correction may be nearing exhaustion.
Traders should monitor the interplay between +DI and -DI on the DMI, as well as price action relative to the Ichimoku Cloud and EMA structure. A breakout above $0.248 could serve as a high-conviction bullish signal, while failure to hold $0.21 may lead to deeper corrections.
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For long-term holders, current levels may present an opportunity to accumulate at discounted prices—provided risk management strategies are in place.
As always, crypto markets remain highly volatile and sensitive to macroeconomic factors, regulatory developments, and ecosystem adoption rates. Staying informed through accurate technical analysis and fundamental updates is essential for navigating uncertainty.
With strategic patience and disciplined execution, investors can position themselves advantageously regardless of short-term fluctuations in HBAR price.