As the crypto market approaches the end of June 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) remains at the center of global trading activity. Investors and traders alike are closely observing price movements, technical indicators, and macroeconomic developments that could influence BTC’s trajectory. This in-depth analysis covers the Bitcoin price, real-time Bitcoin USD performance, Bitcoin price in India, and offers a data-driven Bitcoin price prediction for June 28, 2025.
Whether you're planning to buy, hold, or sell BTC today, this guide delivers actionable insights grounded in current market dynamics, technical analysis, and expert sentiment.
Bitcoin Price Overview – June 28, 2025
As of early trading on June 28, 2025, Bitcoin is showing resilience and bullish momentum:
- Bitcoin price in USD: $69,150
- Bitcoin price in India: ₹57,85,000
After reclaiming the $69,000 level, Bitcoin is gaining strength from renewed institutional interest and optimism around upcoming blockchain protocol upgrades. The market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic as BTC tests a critical resistance zone near $70,000.
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Technical Analysis: Bitcoin USD Chart Insights
Key Support and Resistance Levels
- Support Levels: $68,200 and $67,000
- Resistance Levels: $70,000 and $72,400
Bitcoin is currently challenging the psychologically significant $70,000 barrier. A confirmed breakout above this level could trigger a fresh rally toward $72,400. Conversely, failure to sustain momentum may lead to a pullback toward $68,200.
Moving Averages Signal Bullish Momentum
- 20-day EMA: $67,800
- 50-day EMA: $66,400
With the current price trading well above both moving averages, the trend remains firmly bullish. This alignment suggests strong buying pressure and short-term confidence among traders.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
- Daily RSI: 65
The RSI indicates mildly overbought conditions but remains below the 70 threshold. If it crosses into overbought territory (above 70), a short-term consolidation or minor correction may follow.
MACD Confirms Uptrend Continuation
The MACD line continues to trade above the signal line, with expanding histogram bars—signaling sustained bullish momentum. No bearish divergence has been detected yet.
Bitcoin Price in India – Local Market Update
In India, demand for Bitcoin is on the rise, especially among younger investors and retail traders:
- BTC to INR Rate: ₹57,85,000
- USD to INR Exchange Rate: ₹83.65
Indian exchanges such as CoinDCX, WazirX, and BitBNS are reporting increased trading volumes following recent tax clarity from Indian financial authorities. A local premium of nearly 2% is currently observed due to high domestic demand.
Indian investors should be aware of the following regulatory considerations:
- 1% TDS (Tax Deducted at Source) on all crypto transactions
- 30% flat tax on capital gains from crypto investments
- Additional transaction fees on centralized platforms
Despite these hurdles, investor confidence is growing as regulatory uncertainty begins to fade.
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Global Market Sentiment and Key Developments
Several macro-level factors are influencing Bitcoin’s performance on June 28, 2025:
Crypto ETF Inflows Boost Confidence
In the U.S., spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to attract strong institutional inflows. This sustained demand is contributing to upward price pressure and reinforcing long-term bullish sentiment.
Regulatory Clarity on the Horizon
- The European Union has advanced its MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets) framework, offering clearer rules for custody and trading—boosting investor trust.
- In India, the Finance Ministry is expected to introduce a comprehensive crypto regulatory framework during the upcoming Monsoon Session of Parliament.
Stock Market Correlation Strengthens
Positive openings in major U.S. indices—the S&P 500 and Nasdaq—are reinforcing Bitcoin’s role as a risk-on asset. The growing correlation between equities and crypto highlights improved market maturity.
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction for June 28, 2025
Intraday Forecast
- Trading Range: $68,300 – $70,500
- A sustained close above $69,150 increases the likelihood of testing $70,000 within hours.
Traders should watch for breakout confirmation with volume support. Immediate rejection at $70,000 could lead to sideways movement or a minor dip.
Weekly Outlook
- Upside Target: $72,000 if bullish momentum holds
- Downside Risk: $66,500 if support at $68,200 fails
Breakout success will depend on continued ETF inflows and positive macro news.
Long-Term Sentiment (Q3 2025)
Analysts project Bitcoin could reach $75,000–$78,000 by late Q3 2025 if current trends in adoption, regulation, and institutional interest persist.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Is Bitcoin likely to break $70,000 on June 28?
A: Yes—current technical indicators suggest a high probability of a breakout if buying volume remains strong and BTC holds above $69,000.
Q: What affects Bitcoin price in India differently than globally?
A: Local demand premiums, USD-INR exchange rates, and domestic tax policies (like 1% TDS and 30% capital gains tax) create pricing differences compared to global markets.
Q: Should I buy Bitcoin today?
A: For long-term holders, current levels offer a solid accumulation zone. Short-term traders should wait for breakout confirmation above $70,000 or a tested re-entry near $68,200.
Q: How do ETF inflows impact Bitcoin’s price?
A: Spot Bitcoin ETFs increase institutional exposure and reduce selling pressure from miners or whales, supporting upward price action.
Q: What happens if Bitcoin fails to break $70,000?
A: A rejection could lead to consolidation between $68,200 and $69,500. Extended failure might invite test of lower support at $67,000.
Q: Are regulatory developments positive for Bitcoin?
A: Yes—MiCA in Europe and anticipated clarity in India are reducing uncertainty and encouraging mainstream adoption.
Recommended Trading Strategies by Investor Type
- Short-Term Traders: Monitor the $70,000 resistance closely. Consider taking partial profits on sharp rejections.
- Swing Traders: Look to buy dips near $68,200 with a stop-loss below $67,000 for favorable risk-reward setups.
- Long-Term Investors: Continue dollar-cost averaging (DCA) into BTC during minor pullbacks. The broader trend remains upward.
Expert Opinions on Current Market Conditions
- Bloomberg Analyst: “Bitcoin’s structure continues to favor buyers. With ETFs and government acceptance increasing, the next big rally may just be getting started.”
- CryptoQuant Data: Whale wallets are actively accumulating BTC between $68,000 and $69,150—indicating strong confidence among large holders.
- India Crypto Forum: “Retail participation is growing again. The coming months could bring price discovery above $75K.”
Final Verdict: Is Today a Good Day to Invest?
Pros:
- Bullish technical structure
- Strong institutional support via ETFs
- Favorable global regulatory developments
- Growing retail interest in emerging markets like India
Cons:
- Near-term resistance at $70,000 may cause volatility
- Mild overbought signals on daily RSI
Bottom Line: For long-term investors, June 28 presents another strategic entry point during an ongoing bullish phase. Short-term traders should remain cautious until a clear breakout occurs.
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Final Thoughts
June 28, 2025 marks a pivotal moment in Bitcoin’s journey through a transformative year. With strong technicals, growing institutional backing, and improving regulatory clarity worldwide—especially in key markets like India and the EU—Bitcoin appears poised for further gains.
Staying informed with real-time data and expert insights is crucial in navigating today’s dynamic crypto landscape. Whether you're trading daily or investing for the long term, strategic decision-making powered by accurate analysis can make all the difference.
Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Cryptocurrency markets are volatile and carry inherent risks.