LLM-Powered Cryptocurrency Transaction Analysis: A Bitcoin Case Study

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The world of cryptocurrency demands advanced, transparent, and adaptive analytical tools. Traditional methods for analyzing blockchain transactions often rely on opaque "black-box" models that lack interpretability and struggle to capture complex behavioral patterns. With the rise of Large Language Models (LLMs), a new frontier in transaction analysis has emerged—offering enhanced reasoning, contextual understanding, and potential for real-world forensic applications.

This article explores how LLMs can be effectively applied to Bitcoin transaction graph analysis through a novel framework that improves data representation and processing efficiency. We examine the challenges, innovations, and performance outcomes of leveraging cutting-edge language models like GPT-4 and GPT-4o in detecting patterns, summarizing features, and interpreting transaction behaviors—even with limited labeled data.

Core Keywords


Introduction: Bridging the Gap in Crypto Analytics

Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin operate on decentralized, pseudonymous networks—offering financial freedom but also creating opportunities for illicit activities such as money laundering and fraud. Current analytical approaches often fall short due to their lack of transparency and adaptability. Enter Large Language Models (LLMs), which have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in reasoning, summarization, and pattern recognition across diverse domains.

While LLMs were originally designed for natural language tasks, recent research shows they can process structured data—including graphs—when appropriately formatted. However, applying them to Bitcoin transaction graphs presents unique challenges: high structural complexity, massive scale, and strict token limitations in models like GPT-3.5 and GPT-4.

This study addresses these issues by introducing two key innovations:

  1. LLM4TG: A human-readable, token-efficient graph representation format.
  2. CETraS: A connectivity-preserving sampling algorithm for mid-sized transaction graphs.

Together, they enable LLMs to analyze real-world Bitcoin data more effectively, paving the way for explainable and context-aware crypto forensics.

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Background: LLMs Meet Blockchain Graphs

A Bitcoin transaction graph represents the flow of funds across addresses, where nodes are wallets or transactions, and edges indicate value transfers. These graphs are essential for identifying suspicious behavior, tracing stolen funds, and understanding user activity.

Meanwhile, LLMs such as GPT-3.5 (16K token limit), GPT-4 (128K token limit), and GPT-4o have shown promise in processing structured inputs when converted into textual formats. The critical bottleneck? Token usage. Raw graph formats like GEXF or GraphML consume tokens rapidly as graph size increases—quickly exceeding model context windows.

To overcome this, researchers employ strategies like:

These techniques allow LLMs to handle large-scale blockchain data without sacrificing critical structural information.


Methodology: A Three-Tier Evaluation Framework

We evaluate LLM performance using a three-level framework across real Bitcoin datasets:

1. Basic Metrics Accuracy

Assesses an LLM’s ability to extract fundamental graph properties:

Results show LLMs excel at retrieving node-level details (98.5%–100% accuracy) but struggle with comparative calculations and global statistics (24%–58% accuracy). This suggests strong recall but limited arithmetic reasoning.

2. Feature Overview Generation

Tests the model's capacity to identify salient patterns from unlabeled subgraphs. Responses are rated as high, medium, or low quality based on accuracy and usefulness.

Findings:

GPT-4o excels at identifying meaningful features—such as high-degree hubs or concentrated value flows—demonstrating improved contextual awareness and reduced hallucination.

3. Contextual Interpretation

Evaluates classification performance in two settings:

Using few-shot prompting:

Notably, LLM-based classifiers generate detailed explanations alongside predictions—adding interpretability absent in traditional models like SVM or MLP.

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Key Innovations: LLM4TG & CETraS

LLM4TG: Optimized Graph Representation

LLM4TG is a text-based, hierarchical format designed specifically for LLM consumption. It integrates node and edge data within a clean structure, reducing redundancy and token overhead while preserving semantics.

Advantages:

Compared to standard formats like GML or GraphML, LLM4TG scales gracefully—making it ideal for production-grade blockchain analysis.

CETraS: Connectivity-Enhanced Sampling

For mid-sized graphs (up to 3,000 nodes), CETraS intelligently samples nodes based on:

It prioritizes retention of structurally important nodes while pruning less relevant ones—ensuring connectivity and preserving critical paths for analysis.

This approach enables effective few-shot learning and supports forensic investigations where full-graph processing isn't feasible.


Experimental Setup and Results

Datasets

Two real-world Bitcoin datasets were used:

Models Tested

All accessed via API with consistent few-shot prompting.

Performance Summary

TaskBest ModelAccuracy
Node MetricsAll98.5%–100%
Global MetricsGPT-4o58%
Feature OverviewGPT-4o82.5% high-quality
Raw Graph ClassificationGPT-4o50.49%

GPT-4o consistently outperforms predecessors—not just in accuracy but in generating coherent, insightful explanations.


Discussion: Strengths, Limitations & Future Directions

Advantages of LLM-Based Analysis

Challenges Remain

Model & Data Impact


Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Can LLMs replace traditional machine learning models in crypto forensics?
A: Not entirely yet. While LLMs offer superior interpretability and few-shot learning, traditional models like Random Forest or GNNs still lead in pure classification accuracy. However, LLMs complement them by providing human-readable explanations.

Q: What makes LLM4TG better than other graph formats?
A: Unlike XML-based formats (e.g., GEXF), LLM4TG is text-native, compact, and structured for natural language processing. It minimizes syntax noise and scales efficiently within token limits—critical for real-world deployment.

Q: How does CETraS preserve graph integrity during sampling?
A: CETraS uses multi-factor importance scoring (degree, value flow, centrality) and ensures key connections remain intact. It avoids isolating critical nodes, maintaining path coherence essential for tracing fund flows.

Q: Are current LLMs reliable for detecting illegal transactions?
A: They show strong potential—especially GPT-4o in identifying mining pools and darknet markets—but should be part of a broader system with validation mechanisms due to occasional inaccuracies in reasoning.

Q: Can this framework work with other cryptocurrencies?
A: Yes. While tested on Bitcoin, the methodology applies to any blockchain with graph-like transaction structures—such as Ethereum or Litecoin—with minor formatting adjustments.

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Conclusion: Toward Explainable Blockchain Intelligence

This study demonstrates that LLMs can play a transformative role in cryptocurrency transaction analysis when supported by optimized data formats and intelligent preprocessing. The proposed LLM4TG format and CETraS algorithm significantly enhance feasibility and performance across multiple evaluation tiers.

While challenges around token limits and computational reasoning persist, newer models like GPT-4o are closing the gap—offering faster processing, higher accuracy, and richer contextual insights.

As regulatory demands grow and blockchain activity expands, tools that combine scalability with explainability will become indispensable. LLM-driven analysis represents a promising step toward transparent, adaptive, and intelligent crypto forensics—ushering in a new era of trustless system accountability.